Water GenbuTier 2
at CMB Store Champs
decks
1
(6.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
2
0-1-1
overall winrate
25.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
45.0%
avg ELO -4.8 per match
expected value
46.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1263
· median 1263
· range 1263–1263
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1088
Q1 1221
Q3 1417
1576
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 18.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 12.5% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 53.6% | +5.8 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 6.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.4% | -15.3 |
| Water Allies | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Overlord | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Byakko | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia Jin | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Overlord | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Genbu decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
